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INE原油创逾一个月新高!全球贸易风险下降

2020-02-14 00:40:43 栏目 : 期货 围观 : 次 评论

  周四(9月5日)上海原油价格上涨。主力合约SC1910,以439.0元/桶收盘,上涨14.9元,涨幅为3.51%,创逾一个月新高至444.9元/桶。贸易局势好转,提振了风险资产,全球股市纷纷走高。而美伊局势进一步升级,令投资者担忧原油供应问题,美国财政部4日宣布,制裁一个与伊朗石油运输相关的航运网络。鲁哈尼否认伊美直接对话,或停止伊核协议更多条款。

  期货合约和成交情况一览

水果拉霸多人版  SHANGHAIGUOJINENGYUANJIAOYIZHONGXINCHENGJIAOQINGKUANG 2019NIAN9YUE5RI(ZHOUSI)

水果拉霸多人版  JIAOYIZONGSHUYUJIAOYICELVE

  上海原油价格水果拉霸多人版上涨。主力合约SC1910,以439.0元/桶收盘,上涨14.9元,涨幅为3.51%。全部合约成交251286手,持仓减少834手至47504手。主力合约成交224896手,持仓减少3034手至22252手。

水果拉霸多人版  JIAOYILUOJI:MAOYIJUSHIHAOZHUAN,TIZHENLEFENGXIANZICHAN,QUANQIUGUSHIFENFENZOUGAO,ERMEIYIJUSHIJINYIBUSHENGJI,LINGTOUZIZHEDANYOUYUANYOUGONGYINGWENTI。

  ZHICHENGWEI:MEIYOU50GUANKOUZHICHENGQIANGJING;INEYUANYOU420ZHICHENGMINGXIAN。

  ZULIWEI:INEYUANYOU450DAGUANGOUCHENGZULI;MEIYUANYOU58GUANKOUGOUCHENGZULI。

  交易策略:短线基本面偏多,空头建议等待,多头可以背靠420做多。

  ZHONGGUOJIHAIWAIXIAOXI

  【MEIGUOXUANBUZHICAIYIGEYUYILANGSHIYOUYUNSHUXIANGGUANDEHANGYUNWANGLUO】

  ① MEIGUOCAIZHENGBU4RIXUANBU,ZHICAIYIGEYUYILANGSHIYOUYUNSHUXIANGGUANDEHANGYUNWANGLUO。MEIGUOCAIZHENGBUZAIYIFENSHENGMINGZHONGSHUO,CICIZHICAISHEJI16JIASHITI、10MINGGERENHE11SOUCHUANZHI。SHENGMINGCHENG,YILANGYISILANGEMINGWEIDUIXIASHUDE“SHENGCHENGLV”GAOGUANJIQITAYILANGGUANYUANCAOZONGZHEIYIHANGYUNWANGLUO,“FEIFA”YUNSONGBINGXIAOSHOUYILANGSHIYOU;

  ② MEIGUOYILANGWENTITEBIEDAIBIAOBULAIEN·HUKEDANGTIANZAIMEIGUOWUYUANJUXINGDEJIZHEHUISHANGBIAOSHI,CICIZHICAISHIMEIGUODUIYILANG“JIXIANSHIYA”SHOUDUANDEYANXU,WEILAIMEIGUOHAIHUICHUTAIGENGDUODUIYIZHICAICUOSHI,YIQIEDUANYILANGJINGJISHOURULAIYUAN、POSHIYILANGZHONGHUITANPANZHUO;

  ③ 根据美方相关规定,受制裁对象在美国境内的资产将被冻结,美国公民不得与其进行交易。(新华网)

  【LUHANIFOURENYIMEIZHIJIEDUIHUA,HUOTINGZHIYIHEXIEYIGENGDUOTIAOKUAN】

  ① YILANGZONGTONGHASANG·LUHANI3RIPAICHUYILANGYUMEIGUOZHIJIEDUIHUADEKENENGXING,TONGSHIJINGGAOKENENG“SHUTIANNEI”TINGZHILVXINGYILANGHEWENTIQUANMIANXIEYIGENGDUOTIAOKUAN;

水果拉霸多人版  ② LUHANI3RIZAIYIHUIFABIAOJIANGHUA,FOURENYILANGFANGMIANJIANGYUMEIFANG“ZHIJIETAN”,SHUOSHUANGFANGRENHEDUIHUAYINGYIYIHEXIEYIWEIKUANGJIA;

  ③ “也许有一种误解,”鲁哈尼说,“我们多次说过,(现在)我们重申,(伊方)没有与美方举行双边对话的决定。”按照鲁哈尼的说法,伊朗“原则上”不与美方直接谈,但如果美方解除所有对伊制裁,伊方有可能像以前一样在伊核协议框架内与美方接触。“我们已经收到多份(与美国对话的)提议,”鲁哈尼说,“我们的回答一直是否定。”(新华网)

  【消息面利空不断,柴油价格为何居高不下?】

  综合因素考虑,短期国内柴油价格仍难下滑。但随着资源陆续到位,柴油市场或承压,而汽柴价格长期倒挂不符合市场规律汽油价格上涨空间较大。值得注意的是,由于2018年10月份开始国内成品油水果拉霸多人版价格出现了大幅下滑的行情,建议成品油业者及时关注原油价格走势及国内成品油供需情况,谨防国内成品油价格再次出现大幅下滑的情况。

  【OUPEIKEJIANCHANBIANZENGCHAN,IPOSHISHATEZUIHOUDEJIUMINGDAOCAOMA】

  ①JINGUANYOUJIAZHUBUXIAHUA,DANOUPEIKECHENGYUANGUOHEELUOSISIHUDUIJINYIBUJIANCHANMEISHENMEXINGQU。JU8YUE30RIGONGBUDEDIAOCHAXIANSHI,ELUOSI8YUEJIANCHANFUDULVEDIYUOUPEIKE +CHANYOUGUODACHENGDEXIEYI,EROUPEIKEZHENGTIRICHANLIANGLIAOZENGJIA8WANTONG,ZHI2961WANTONG;

  ②沙特阿美石油公司成功上市,将仅仅是一个开始,未来还会有更多的沙特企业陆续通过上市来获得更多国际资本,逐步实现国家经济的多元化转型。

水果拉霸多人版  【LIANYOUXINGYE“LIANHUAYITIHUA”ZHUANXINGCHENGGONGSHI】

  改革开放以来,我国炼油行业取得长足进步,炼油能力跃居世界第二位,但产能过剩矛盾日益突出,且呈加剧之势,倒逼炼油企业从原来的燃料型向炼化一体化转型,从以生产成品油为主到拉长产业链,朝着“油化并举、油头化尾”方向发展。不过,业内人士提醒,炼化一体化趋势势必将炼油产能过剩压力传导至化工领域,应当警惕化工板块产能过剩苗头。

  【ELUOSINENGYUANBUZHANGNUOWAKE:WOMENXUYAOKAOLVDEBUSHIYOUJIA,ERSHIPINGHENGDESHICHANG,JINGUANCUNZAIBUQUEDINGXING,DANYOUSHIYICHUYUXIANGDANGPINGHENGZHUANGTAI】

  【8YUEFENSHANDONGDILIANQICHAIYOUGONGYINGLIANGHUANBIXIAHUA6.05%】

  GENJUZHUOCHUANGTONGJI,2019NIAN8YUESHANDONGDILIANQICHAIYOUGONGYINGLIANGWEI674WANDUN,HUANBIDAFUXIAHUA6.05%。8YUE,YUANYOUJIAGEKUANFUZHENDANG,TAIFENG“LIQIMA”DENGLUSHANDONG,BUFENDIFANGLIANCHANGCAIQUTINGGONGCELVE,QUANLIKANGHONG,KAIGONGFUHECENGYIDUXIAHUA,YINCITUOLEIGONGYINGLIANGMINGXIANJIANSHAO。

  JIGOUGUANDIAN

  【HUATAIQIHUO:MEIGUOZHICAIYILANGHANGYUNWANGLUO】

  在G7会议之后,法国总统马克龙试图通过外交努力来挽回伊核协议(JCPOA),即通过对伊朗授信150亿美元来换取伊朗对伊核协议的遵守,伊朗威胁要在本周五第三次违反JCPOA限制的情况下增加其核活动,可能使浓度达到20%的铀浓缩,除非欧洲签署JCPOA为美国制裁的财务影响提供补偿。但昨天美国加大对伊朗航运的制裁表明,法国的外交努力正在化为泡影,我们预计美国对伊朗的极限施压政策不会出现U型反转,因为特朗普依然面临来自国内强硬派以及中东盟友的压力,对伊朗妥协的概率非常低,因此昨日油价大涨,主要是前期市场对伊朗问题担忧有所消退,预计伊朗石油出口依然会维持在50万桶/日以下的低位。

(WENZHANGLAIYUAN:HUITONGWANG)

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